Gold Rout Thins the Herd of Bulls: Poll

By Nicholas Larkin
Bloomberg
Dec. 15, 2011

Gold’s biggest rout in three months means traders are the least bullish since July and Dennis Gartman, the economist who sold the last of his metal on the day the slump began, warned of further declines.

Ten of 21 surveyed by Bloomberg expect the metal to gain next week, the lowest proportion since July 29. Three were neutral. While bullion’s slide of as much as 9 percent this week took its drop from the record $1,923.70 an ounce reached in September to almost 20 percent, the common definition of a bear market, investors are still holding the most metal ever in exchange-traded products, a wager now valued at $119.2 billion.

Commodities retreated the most in almost three months and more than $640 billion was wiped off the value of global equities on Dec. 14 after the Federal Reserve refrained from taking new stimulus measures. That combined with signs of increased funding stress in Europe helped drive the dollar to the highest since January against the euro. Gold typically moves in the opposite direction to the U.S. currency.

“Bears are in the driver seat,” said Miguel Perez- Santalla, vice president of sales at Heraeus Precious Metals Management LLC in New York, whose clients include jewelers and mining companies. (BWMING) “But the problems in Europe have not been solved and buying will come back and we will see higher prices because of a lack of confidence in the financial system.”

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