Trump Takes Lead Over Hillary 45-43 in CNN/ORC Poll, 20 Point Lead With IndependentsChris Menahan
Sep. 06, 2016
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Donald Trump has taken the lead over Hillary Clinton in the latest CNN/ORC poll.
Trump is at 45% to Clinton's 43% and he's leading among independents by 20%. He also has high voter enthusiasm while Clinton's is garbage.
Watching Morning Joe, Mika and Joe were in pain having to announce these numbers, Joe even went on some rant saying basically "this is all James Comey's fault" and asked "why'd he have to hold that press conference and make such a media spectacle!?"
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton start the race to November 8 on essentially even ground, with Trump edging Clinton by a scant two points among likely voters, and the contest sparking sharp divisions along demographic lines in a new CNN/ORC Poll.Note, they're doing everything they can to downplay their own poll.
Maybe next they'll change their methodology like Reuters (where he's also now winning).
The new poll finds the two major party candidates provoke large gaps by gender, age, race, education and partisanship. Among those likely to turn out in the fall, both candidates have secured about the same share of their own partisans (92% of Democrats back Clinton, 90% of Republicans are behind Trump) but independents give Trump an edge, 49% say they'd vote for him while just 29% of independent voters back Clinton. Another 16% back Johnson, 6% Stein.Here's the full results.
CNN mostly ignored the huge enthusiasm gap in favor of Trump.
Here's the question:
"How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in this year's election -- extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic or not at all enthusiastic?"
Here's the second question:
"Compared to previous elections, are you more enthusiastic about voting than usual, or less enthusiastic?"
Trump's leading by 17 points for more enthusiastic and 24 points on less enthusiastic. This is huge considering Hillary needs to get Obama like numbers of non-whites to the polls to even stand a chance.
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