2016 Election Results Broken Down by Race and GenderChris Menahan
Dec. 28, 2016
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If you ever wondered why the Democrats are so intent on "fundamentally transforming" America demographically, look no further.
The electorate in this model is 73% White, 12% African-American, 10% Hispanic, 3% Asian, and 2% Other. 52% Female and 48% Male. These numbers were chosen on the basis of historic trends (in terms of how much the exit polls undersample or oversample certain parts of the electorate), and current data on racial turnout available in a few states. The American Community Survey will provided definitive numbers on the composition of the electorate sometime in mid-2017, but until then, this is the best estimate I believe we have.
Here's Trump's vote share by race:
Here's a breakdown showing how whites voted in 2012 for Romney and then in 2016 for Trump:
Demographics are destiny.
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